Kit Menkin’s Leasing news www.leasingnews.org Monday, February 11, 2002

 

 

Headlines

 

Tyco Stock Springs Back, Facing the Music Works

  Hacker Brings Down Leasing News Classified Ads

    Reaction to GE/Colonial Pacific Chicago Office Rumor

      Reaction to Leasing News Complaint

          Reaction to Kozlowski-Welch Radio Puppet Show

             International Rolls Out Zero Percent Financing

                      U.S. Shuts 'Unsound' Internet Bank

 

 

EFJ’s Ron Caruso’s Observations on the Leasing Climate Today

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Facing the Music Works

 

Tyco Chief Executive L. Dennis Kozlowski facing the music certainly has paid off as stockholders renew confidence in the company.  Various suitors say they don’t need a Valentine, GMAC, Citigroup, American Express,  meaning they aren’t interested in the CIT operation.  And does GE need another financial division? What will happen to the employees, the operation in Tempe, Arizona is pure speculation,  Kozlowski already said Tyco “overpaid” for CIT, so does that mean it will be sold at a “fire sale” price?  And to whom?  Is he as good a poker player  as Oakland Raider Al Davis who is allegedly willing to trade his one year contract coach Jon Gruden to Tampa Bay.  The stockholder’s confidence is back. Tyco meantime raises its minimum in several finance division to brokers to $150,000, according to a reliable source.

 

Tyco Is Healthy, Yet Faces a Huge Debt in 2002

By John Hechinger, Wall Street Journal

Tyco International, seeking to raise its credibility with investors, released detailed quarterly financial projections showing strong cash flow from its operations, enough money to pay its debts and a $2.15 billion cash balance at the end of 2002.

J. Brad McGee, a Tyco executive vice president, said the big industrial and financial-services concern took the unusual step to make a strong case it wasn't in financial distress. "We wanted to make sure questions about liquidity were off the table," he said.

Analysts noted, however, that Tyco still faces as much as $12 billion in debt coming due in 2003 and the company is under intense pressure to execute quickly a recently announced plan to break into four pieces.

Tyco disclosed its quarterly projections in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As of 4 p.m. Friday (2/8/02), in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, Tyco's shares rose $1.83 to $29.88 each. But the shares remain 49% below where they started the year. Concern over Tyco's complicated accounting, which started the decline, has evolved into deeper scrutiny of its debts and liquidity.

"People said we need more data; they said 'Fine, we're happy to supply it,'" said Darcy MacLaren, director of equity research at Safeco Asset Management, which holds about one million Tyco shares. "As people gain comfort with the numbers, they'll step back from the panic and look at the cash flow and say, this thing is ridiculously cheap."

Tyco reversed its highly acquisitive strategy this past month and said it would break itself up in an effort to increase shareholder value and simplify its financial statements.

Stock and bondholders were spooked this past week when the company and its finance unit, Tyco Capital, borrowed $14.4 billion through backup bank credit lines because they feared they wouldn't be able to access their normal source of short-term credit in the commercial-paper market. Companies usually reserve such bank lines for emergencies. The company earlier borrowed $1.5 billion to tide it through the breakup plan. Standard & Poor's downgraded Tyco's debt this past week by three notches to triple-B from single-A. The latest rating remains investment grade.


Earlier this week, Tyco Chief Executive L. Dennis Kozlowski, said the electronics weakness and higher borrowing costs could cut 45 cents, or $900 million, from Tyco's previous estimate of the company's fiscal 2002 earnings of $7.4 billion or $3.70 a share.


The new financial projections, which excluded the company's big Tyco Capital finance unit, showed Tyco starting out the calendar year, the beginning of its current fiscal second quarter, with $1.87 billion in cash. The company expects to generate a hefty $4.6 billion in free cash flow - which it defines as cash generated from operations, minus capital spending and dividends - in the four quarters to the end of the calendar year.

Borrowings, repayments of short-term debt and $2.9 billion in anticipated expenditures on acquisitions - some already agreed to, some not - were also detailed in the filing, bringing the company to the $2.15 billion figure at Dec. 31 of this year.

But Tyco reported negative cash flow of $215 million its fiscal first quarter ended Dec. 31, 2001. Given that, and Tyco's recent acknowledgment of softness in its electronics business, Albert J. Meyer, an analyst with David W. Tice & Associates, called the cash-flow projections "very aggressive." The firm publishes a newsletter for institutional investors and also manages Prudent Bear Fund, which is short Tyco shares, meaning it is betting that the stock price will fall.

Tyco's McGee said the fiscal first-quarter cash flow tends to be weak because of bonuses and, calling the 2002 projections "conservative," said they take into account the electronics weakness.

Some analysts also said the picture looks far less rosy in 2003, when Tyco could face about $12 billion in debt payments coming due.

These analysts say that debt may be a reason why Tyco this week said it would accelerate the breakup plan. One of Tyco's bank lines, for $3.9 billion, must be paid back or renegotiated in February 2003. And Tyco may have to come up with about $5.9 billion in 2003 under a complex arrangement with its convertible bondholders. Of that amount, Tyco could be forced to come up with $3.6 billion in cash in November 2003. The rest could be repaid in stock.

But McGee and some analysts say those deadlines would become moot if Tyco manages to execute its breakup plan effectively. Under the plan, which calls for an early sale of Tyco Capital and the company's plastics business, Tyco would restructure its debt, paying down some $11 billion. Tyco bonds, which had fallen to distressed levels early last week after Tyco tapped its bank lines, had rallied sharply by week's end.

Glenn Reynolds, chief executive at CreditSights Inc., a New York bond-research firm, said investors aren't focused on 2003 because Tyco, having lost the market's confidence, has no choice but to pull off its breakup plan long before its other debts come due. "There is a timeline here," he said. "They have a gun aimed at their head. They have to execute."

 

 

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Hacker Brings Leasing News Classified Down

 

Classified ads are kept on a separate webs server than Leasing News. It was hit

by a  hacker late Thursday night.  The hacker got through two firewalls.

 

 In looking at the records, it appears they were trying for two weeks or more.

We could find no damage, but it appears there were some programs ( virus ) imbedded.

We did not open them, but stripped the hard drive of all software and reinstalled

the operating system .  We have the date saved elsewhere and re-installed it.

 

 We have changed passwords, put on a third firewall. And also strengthened

up our main site--again.

 

We don’t know what the hacker was up to. This was a Windows 2000

server that we host in our office solely for the classified ads in Leasing News.

 

We do not think it is related to the new policy of allowing only leasing

companies who belong to lease associations  to advertise in the “help

wanted section.”   We hope it is coincidental occurrence.

 

We apologize for being down for most of Friday. 

 

____________________________________________________________________

 

Classified Ads---Help Wanted Requirement

 

28 ads were removed.  We received comments like “ Take a Hike!” to

some we cannot print. Perhaps reflecting the common sentiment is

this one, where they sender asked us to with hold their name:

 

I have no problem with our classified ad being removed while we re-evaluate

membership in UAEL or NAELB. It's been a while since we actually belonged to

either of those organizations, although we do still attend the occasional

forums.

 

I would like to express my humble opinion that just because a company is a

member of one of the Leasing organizations, there is no way to "insure the

code of conduct and ethnics the association requires of that member." as

pointed out by your staff.

 

 We all know that many of the bad apples (over the years) have been members in good standing with WAEL & UAEL for many years and that the banks & lenders who have generated large volumes of business through those companies have simply "looked the other way".

 

Many of the good ones simply do not find the value in membership at this

time.

 

Please withhold my name and thanks for the forum!

 

 

( Our original intention was to help out individuals “out of work, “not

giving companies a “free” Help Wanted ad.

 

The point is the leasing association has a procedure to eliminate members

who are not following their code of ethics. The National Association

of Equipment Leasing Brokers openly promotes doing business with

funders who are members of their association.  The reasoning is quite

valid.  The association has the ability to get involved and help straighten

out the “dispute.”

 

From a dollars and sense position, the MonitorDaily.com Employment

postings are   1 ad $625 each  2 ads $600 each   3 ads $575 each posted for

60 days and they have further discounts for each ad if signed to a one year contract. Featured employee and other ads are available for an additional

fee.

 

Again, our goal in classified ads is to help individuals find work. It

works, as we get testimonials, also from the "Help Wanted" ads.

 

Anyone can post a “Job Wanted” ad---no requirements, except a maximum of 25 words. It is free. No time limit. Let us know when you find a job, and hopefully,

we have been of some help.

 

Kit Menkin, editor/publisher

 

Reaction to GE/Colonial Pacific Chicago Office Rumor

 

 

"One of our brokers said that GE Capital's new Colonial Pacific/Chicago

office is not funding because all of their employees called in sick. They

told management that they "weren't going to be treated this way".  Have you

heard from anyone with some facts?"

 

( name with held )

 

After two days, Leasing News is still unable to have this “rumor “ denied

or confirmed.  This is the reaction we have received to date:

 

 

Very little has been said about the departure of many of the Mellon managers

who were under retention bonus plans with GE until 12/15/01. 

 

They resigned  en masse in the middle of January to join their former leader Tim Reece who  has formed a new company to compete with the old as a subsidiary of Greater

Bay Bank.

 

  Insiders report that the move caused severe irritation to the

newly ordained king of the consolidated GE unit made up of former Heller,

Colonial Pacific, Mellon, Leasamerica, and Chase Third Century groups.

 

 Word  on the street is that the new company had their pick of the litter.  All that

is reportedly left are those who weren't worth taking.

 

Name withheld

 

---

 

The dedicated and professional staff that continues to process our

business in Portland remain committed to both our success and that of other

senior brokers.   CapitalWerks, LLC  originated and funded its highest

volume ever with CPLC in January, since its inception 15 short months ago .

Our experience was nothing short of amazing, with increased turnaround,

creative solutions to difficult vender programs, and positive attitudes...

 

Whoever would question the validity and commitment to professionalism by the

group in Portland should be investigated.   I can only suspect those

individuals that have been committed to the broker community for as many

years as the dedicated staff at CPLC, recognize they will continue to work

with us even in their future endeavors.

 

Kit, since GE/CPLC made the decision to focus on their more profitable and

experienced originating partners, the customer service and communication has

increased significantly to both of our advantage.  

 

 

Jim Raeder

President

Preferred Lease, A CapitalWerks Company

 

Office 949 270 2121

 

 

 

jimraeder@capitalwerks.com

 

 ( It appears Chicago has not begun processing the business, so this is a non-issue for

the Portland office.  We do not know if the “sick out” is true or not. Prior to this

date, we did hear from ex-management that GE has brought in non-leasing management

to consolidate the various leasing company operations, make further “cuts” in

duplication, tighten credit criteria as part of improving “performance” and

merge the acquisition into the GE way in Chicago. editor )

 

 

 

Reaction to Leasing News Complaint

 

“Why do we continue to announce mergers, acquisitions, and the hiring of

new  employees on Leasing News? I've been in the industry over 7 years and

have  NEVER heard of 99% of these 5 man shops like Cypress Leasing. Who

besides  Mr. Rockhold cares that his name is spelled correctly? Butler Capital

moves  from New York to Maryland? I didn't even know they existed until this

morning. Enough with bothering Kit about packing up the family and

moving  the home office to Cockeysville, Maryland. Lets stick to headlines, not

address and employment changes.”

 

Anonymous

 

--

 

You gotta love these anonymous letter writers to Leasing News.  The latest entry is from a seven-year leasing professional  complaining about the relevance of events concerning leasing companies which he/she had never heard of.

 

 In all due respect to the anonymous writer, although frankly I am not sure if the lack of fearlessness in his/her anonymity commands any respect, seven years in this industry amounts to mere youth compared to more seasoned veterans.  I have nearly twenty years experience, and still consider myself "middle-aged" in this industry with a lot of learning to do.  Yet I am familiar with just about all the companies which have had their news releases published in Leasing News.

 

To dismiss such announcements as trivial is to show lack of regard to our fellow professionals who have made contributions to the growth of our industry.  Lack of regard, is of course, a symptom of such metaphorical youth.

 

"Anonymous" need not be disheartened.  In the words of Dorothy Fulheim, "Youth is a disease from which we all recover"

 

Jim Fleming

National Business Credit, Inc.

nationalbusinesscredit@yahoo.com

 

---

 

The complaint in yesterdays leasing news bothers me. I have been in the leasing industry since 1978. I worked for small and large leasing companies. I've owned small and large leasing companies. During that time I've made many friends, and probably some enemies. The Leasing News keeps me up to date on many of them. It also reminds me to contact them from time to time. If someone, who for some reason chooses to be "anonymous," doesn't want to read that information, well then just skip it. Keep up the good work and complete reporting!

 

Bob Chlebowski

Capital, Technology & Leasing, LLC.

rchlebowski@captechleasing.com

 

----

 

I agree with you, Kit, about what you publish.  If "name withheld" doesn't

care to hear about Cypress leasing, he can always skip the leasing news and

read the pre-masticated stuff elsewhere.  You, Kit, are a wonderful

combination of the Wall Street Journal and National Inquirer for us folks in

the leasing industry.  It ain't broke - don't fix it!

 

Name NOT withheld....

 

Charlie Meaker

Lease Financing, Inc.

800-478-2330  - 520-398-2650 - Fax 520-398-2652

Since 1987 - Financing for Business Equipment and Modular Buildings

 

( Yes, insider news and what is really happening in our industry. editor )

 

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Reaction to

 

Friday’s Tyco International Wrap-Up Kozlowski-Welch Radio Puppet Show

 

The Tyco/CIT story reminds me of yet another panel discussion at the

UAEL/EAEL joint conference in Las Vegas a few years back.  I sat on this

panel with Ira Romoff and the topic of discussion centered around fate

of  the leasing industry and where we would be in 5 years.

 

 Ira, whose insightful words again raised the specter of the "Whale-Minnow"

syndrome, said that "Whale-Minnow would indeed occur.  Ira predicted,

however, that the Whales ran the risk of growing so large that they

would begin to collapse and eventually implode under their own weight.

Incredibly, all that is currently happening with Tyco would put Ira on

the dais with Karnak the Great as a soothsayer for the leasing business.

 

It appears that Ira was dead on as the Whales begin to beach themselves.

In the meantime I hope that the Minnows don't starve before our funding

"food sources" can be replenished.

 

The carnage that the Whales have caused in the last couple of years may have brought the "Red Tide" down on all of us.

 

Bob Rodi

President

LeaseNOW, Inc.

drlease@leasenow.com

www.leasenow.com

1-800-321-LEAS (5327)x 101

 

 ( Or it has brought in some new waters for us to fish as it certainly opens up great opportunity for local lessors, local banks, to get back to the personalized service; the face recognition relationship. The mergers and acquisitions will bring growth for smaller

entities who can obtain better margins, less operation costs due to technocracy, and

exist while the corporate giants kill each other.  editor )

 

---- 

 

 

 

(dealers turn to low rates and “zero financing” to create sales )

 

International Rolls Out Zero Percent Financing

#######  ###############################################

 

1/29/2002 -  International Truck and Engine Corporation and the American

Transportation Corporation have rolled out a special financing plan for

qualified customers.

 

   "Catch It While You Can" offers a 0% first year interest rate financing

on 60- and 72-month loans. The limited time offer applies to the purchase of

new International and American Transportation vehicles. Qualified customers

buying up to 10 trucks will receive an effective APR of 4.71% for 60 months

and 5.10% for 72 months. This represents an approximate customer savings of

$5,000 to $10,000 over the life of the loan, according to International.

 

   For customers who don't take advantage of the 0% first year interest rate

financing, International is offering alternative purchasing options such as

$1,000 to $2,000 in parts and service credit, or a $3,000 trade-in allowance

on the purchase of International 9000 or 9000i series vehicles.

 

   The "Catch It While You Can" financing program runs from Jan. 21, 2002

through March 31, 2002. For more information on this program, contact your

local dealer. To find the nearest dealer location, call 1-866-23TRUCK or

visit www.InternationalDelivers.com.

 

 ( sent in by Christopher Raley

chris.raley@firstprimecapital.com  )

 

################  ##################################

 

 

 

 

The Leasing Sourcebook

 

 

http://www.leasingsourcebook.com/           

 

Serving the Leasing Industry Since 1983

 

Founded, in 1983, BIBLIO.TECH publishes the Leasing Sourcebook--The Directory of the U.S. Capital Equipment Leasing Industry. Sourcebook data comes from our proprietary database—continuously updated—that tracks over 6,000 leasing companies and other firms which market specifically to this industry. Our program of continuing research is guided by subscribers and clients.

 

There is no cost to add your company to our database and to be listed in the Sourcebook. To do so, please visit our Questionnaire page.

 

The Leasing Sourcebook is the only comprehensive equipment leasing industry directory and contains results from our periodic industry surveys.

 

 Upon request, we develop Custom Reports tailored to client specifications.

 

Contact Lists (essential for direct mail or telemarketing) are available on a selective basis for qualifying promotional purposes.

 

In the near future, we will offer on-line access to the Biblio.Tech database. To receive news about Internet access, send e-mail     

                   BarbaraLow@LeasingSourcebook.com.

 

 

 

                 Telephone 

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             781-259-9861

                Postal address 

               P.O. Box 657, Lincoln, MA 01773-0567

                  Electronic mail 

               BarbaraLow@LeasingSourcebook.com

 

U.S. Shuts 'Unsound' Internet Bank

Too Many NextBank Borrowers Default

 

 

 

By Neil Irwin

 

Washington Post Staff Writer

 

Federal regulators closed NextBank N.A., an Internet bank that has 1.2 million credit card customers, for "unsafe and unsound" financial practices.

 

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency said NextBank had extended too much credit, given the amount of cash it had in reserve.

 

"NextBank's unsafe and unsound practices were likely to deplete all or substantially all of the bank's capital," with little prospect of turning things around without government intervention, the agency said in a news release.

 

NextBank was the first Internet bank to be closed by the government.

"This may affect some of the other remaining online-only banks and reflect poorly on them," said Robert Sterling, a senior analyst at technology research firm Jupiter Media Metrix. "It's not very fair, but it might have that impact."

 

NextBank Visa cards remain valid, Visa said, although the credit card company is discussing what will happen with the accounts in the long term. On the company's credit card  Web site yesterday, the card application link did not work.

 

NextBank, a unit of NextCard Inc., didn't offer a full range of banking services such as checking accounts. Its business was limited to accepting deposits in the form of $100,000 certificates of deposit and issuing credit in the form of credit cards. It attracted steady business: NextBank has deposits of $554 million, which isn't much by conventional banking standards but is large compared with other Internet-only banks.

 

NextBank's problem, the comptroller's office said, was that it did not have policies in place to adequately protect itself should credit card customers default in large numbers, leaving the bank unable to repay depositors.

 

In the past two years, as the American economy has softened, that is exactly what has happened. More of NextBank's borrowers defaulted than the bank had expected.

"The bank's assets were of lower credit quality than initially projected in the bank's business plan," the comptroller's office press release said.

 

A spokeswoman for NextCard did not return a phone call seeking comment. In a prepared statement yesterday, the company said efforts to sell itself have been unsuccessful and that it will reevaluate its business strategy.

 

The bank is now under the control of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Depositors who had $100,000 or less in NextBank will get their money back. Those who deposited more will get more than $100,000 back only if there is money left over after the company is liquidated.

 

Accounts totaling $29 million exceeded the $100,000 limit, the FDIC said. The agency also said it won't know how much the closing will cost the government until NextBank's assets can be evaluated.

NextBank was one of several banks that emerged during the Internet boom of the late 1990s that promised high interest payments on deposits and low fees by keeping expenses low. Instead of expensive bank branches, they centralized their operations and interacted with customers online.

 

"What they found is that it's only a certain type of customer who's willing to use a financial institution where they don't have branch access," said Moriah Campbell-Holt, an analyst with Gomez Inc., which evaluates financial services providers.

 

But NextBank's problems appear to be somewhat different. The firm was involved exclusively in issuing credit cards, she said, and its problems appear to have come from incorrectly calculating the risk of customer defaults, not an inability to raise funds.

The Nasdaq Stock Market halted trading of NextCard shares.. The stock last closed at 14 cents a share. NextCard shares traded for more than $40 a share in 1999.

 

 

WWW.FDIC.GOV/BANK/INDIVIDUAL/ONLINE/SAFE.HTML

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.'s Web site has an excellent, three-part summary of safe-banking tips.

 

The FDIC's first tip may seem obvious, but the anonymity of the Internet makes it even more critical: Take steps to confirm that an online bank is a legitimate bank and your deposits are insured.

 

The site also offers sensible privacy and security advice and an overview of your rights as a banking consumer. Bookmark this site; it has invaluable advice.

 

 

 

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EFJ’s Ron Caruso’s Observations on the Leasing Climate Today

 

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always, your comments and suggestions are welcome.

 

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The Winter Doldrums

by Ron Caruso

 

There are gray clouds hanging over the financial services sector,

and other gray clouds hanging over the equipment financing sector.

All of them could be aptly summarized as follows:

 

Credibility Issues:

 

What can anyone- the general public, security analysts or credit

analysts, believe in terms of financial reporting from companies?

Whether this news is in the form of press releases or the used to

be sacred words of their independent auditors, there was reliance

that the information contained more than a scintilla of

truthfulness. In the court of public opinion, all such reporting

is beginning to be considered more fiction than fact.

Additionally, when it reaches the epic proportions of the ENRON

spectacle, we all need to beware-Congress is holding hearings, the

director of the SEC has publicly scolded FASB (self-regulation

appears to be a myth) and the general public is scared. Out of

times and conditions such as these emanate reactions that can be

extreme, in the name of political exigency. Such issues as

truthful representation of a company's financial results and

financial position may be perceived as victims of excessive off-

balance sheet use or abuse when applied to certain types of

financing. Our industry could be caught up in this, willingly or

unwillingly.

 

Conflicts of Interest Issues:

 

On the surface, this issue seems to be focused on auditors who

also provide consulting services to their clients. The financial

reality is that the consulting services often generate multiples

of the audit engagement fees. Additionally, it is hard for

outsiders to believe that accounting firms involved in this dual

role can maintain their objectivity with regard to their

responsibility to their profession and the general public in terms

of financial reporting. Now it is not a question of what can be

done. It has gone past this threshold to a perhaps more draconian

alternative. The days of integrated audit/tax/consulting services

may be quickly drawing to an end. Similarly, investment banking

firms the both offer opinions about the attractiveness of stocks

and provide financial services to these same companies-could this

also be viewed as a conflict?

 

Capital Spending:

 

When will the up tick or more optimistically the upsurge begin? We

seem to take one step forward, followed by one or more steps back.

Inventories remain at very low levels. When will the industrials

seek to replace rather than repair their capital equipment?

 

CIT-TYCO

 

CIT has had an exciting existence over the last several months.

It's gone from being acquired, to possibly being spun off through

an IPO, to its current alternative of possibly being sold again.

Is this an overreaction? Is there now a presumption that any

financial misstep means you are guilty until proven innocent?

 

One thing is clear-we are in a period of heightened anxiety and

tension on Wall St. Financial creativity with regard to the

reporting of earnings, et.al., will be taking a much more

conservative approach. There may continue to be gray clouds over

the economy and Wall St., but there will be fewer shades of gray

in financial news and financial reporting. Stay tuned.

 

 

For more information on these and other breaking news stories,

visit the EFJ's web site:

http://www.efj.com

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