November 12, 2001

 

Kit Menkin’s Leasing News  www.leasingnews.org   Monday, November 12 ,2001

Veteran’s Day.  Flags at half mast until Noon to salute those who have died in

the service of our country.  Flags full mast at noon to salute those in service,

who are defending our country.

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Headlines---

 

Equidity ( formerly Equalfooting)files BK

  Classified Section—Up Date

    Monday---Odds and Ends

       Be Wary of Those Zero Percent Loans/Not that Simple

          Comdex Show ( Leasing News Webmaster Carl Moberg

                        will have a special report on the show )

Federal judge rejects HP's purchase of Comdisco unit/Sells to SunGard

  Wholesale Prices Fall, Biggest Decline in More than a Half-Century

      Credit Card Giant Providian Pays for Growth

          National Train System Not on Track

            Web site provides list of unclaimed IRS rebate checks

 

 

Leasing News “The List” on Tuesday

 

 

 

 

 

Former EqualFooting.com Files Bankruptcy
 
by Michael P Bruno  bizreport.com

 

Equidity Inc., the defunct remake of EqualFooting.com Inc., has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The filing, in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Eastern District of Virginia in Alexandria, came late last week.

In court documents, Equidity listed estimated assets of $1 million to $10 million and estimated debts totaling $1 million to $10 million.

Equidity listed Kermit A. Rosenberg of Tighe Patton Armstrong Teasdale PLLC in Washington as its bankruptcy attorney. Rosenberg and company representatives could not immediately be reached. Recently, the company's investors told The Washington Post that Equidity was winding down operations and looking for a buyer.

Equidity's top 20 creditors registered $1.03 million in undisputed claims and another $268,000 in disputed claims, court documents said. The largest overall claim, which was disputed, was by ePublishing Inc. of Houston for $238,793. Altogether, the company listed more than 170 creditors, including its own founders and Loudoun County.

Equalfooting.com, an online marketplace for small businesses, experienced the joy and pain that swept the online business-to-business market. The company was founded in June 1999 and launched its offerings in March 2000 with a party at the Columbus Club in Union Station that featured former Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole and former Federal Communications Commission Chairman Reed Hundt.

At its peak, the company landed around $70 million in venture capital and employed 215 workers.

But a year ago EqualFooting.com decided to switch from its original focus on small and mid-size businesses to offering some of its financing services to large corporations as demand for its online exchanges did not materialize as expected. The company also laid off 35 workers.

Last February, EqualFooting.com launched Equidity, a financial tech company. A month later the group cut 120 more of its staff and took on the Equidity name.

 

 

 

Holga Storage

 

Kit, I am curious why the filing/ storage system was offered for 8K but no

leasing options were mentioned. (smile)

 

If anyone is interested in the filing system from Textron, we would be happy

to help them establish an affordable monthly investment plan and get that

piece of equipment into their office.

 

Brian Montgomery

Express Funding Solutions

EquipmentFunding@aol.com

 

  ( Usually sellers on used equipment want cash, to make it a “clean sale”

and get off their books.  Perhaps Textron may lease it, but certainly

Brian Montgomery will. editor )

 

 

For Sale—Holga Filing System---Bargain Price, It is Reported----

 

I am the Manager of Collateral and Office Services

for Vendor Finance, Textron Financial. We have a 1 1/2 year old Holga Filing

 

System we need to find a home for due to the closure of this division at the

end of the year.  The system will hold upwards of 40,000 letter size files.

 

It is in excellent condition.  I have digital photos that I can forward to

interested parties.  The system is $8000.00 plus removal.  If anyone is

interested, they can contact me Monday thru Friday at 503-675-5463.\

 

Terri Trout

TTrout@TFC.Textron.com

 

_______________________________________________________________-

 

Monday Odds and Ends

 

from: Bob Teichman:

 

Another great example of the Menkin sense of humor. Who wrote this letter

printed in today's Leasingnews?

 

Quote...

 

"I choose to sign my name..."

 

I think you do an excellent job of weeding through the comments and printing

pertinent stuff.  I choose to sign my name to anything I put out on the

airwaves. That's because I wouldn't hesitate to say what I say directly to

their face.  You already know how I feel about people who don't sign their

name to their comments, especially the ones who want to criticize and

nitpick.  That's why you filter this comments.

 

President

LeaseNOW, Inc.

drlease@leasenow.com

www.leasenow.com

1-800-321-LEAS (5327)x 10  "

 

 

Bob Teichman, CLP

Teichman Financial Training

3030 Bridgeway, Suite 213

Sausalito, CA 94965

Tel: 415-331-6445

Fax: 415-331-6451

e-mail: BoTei@aol.com

 

 ( Hey, it was signed by: president, LeaseNow, with e-mail, address, telephone

number. I think it was you who told me one of the questions on the Certified Lease Professional test is “Who is the president of LeaseNOW?”  editor ).

 

From Bob Rodi:

 

 

I have two things for you. While I appreciate your use of my comments

regarding signing my name to correspondence to Leasingnews, you actually

failed to include my name at the end of my quote.  Hopefully most of the

seasoned followers of Leasingnews will recognize who I am from my title

and company, but the new readers, I'm sure don't have any idea.  Maybe

you were giving a hint and readers were supposed to guess my name, was

that it?

 

( Was only keeping the readers on their toes. editor )

 

Secondly, I have a follow-up to Archie Julian's comment about calling on

Ikon sales people after the ruling in California.  Ikon's credit

department tightened up, as did nearly every other copier company who was

pushing machines out the door the way Ikon was, as soon as that law suit

was filed.  They took it to court but I am fairly certain that management

knew they weren't going to win some time ago.

 

 

The problem is that the copier sales reps are used to having "dumb

money" financing their deals. They may be good prospects a year from now

once they realize that they may actually have to "sell" the office

equipment the way we did in the old days when I was in that business.

 

We have actually been contacted by two of Ikon's offices to do their

leasing as well as a very large Toshiba dealer.  They still have

unrealistic expectations of "office equipment" financing and it is

difficult to explain to them that their current situation, has been

caused by the fact that leasing and finance companies bought all of

their deals at unrealistic rates and residuals.

 

In the 80's I spent 6 years in that business while starting in leasing at the same time,

leasing what I sold myself and later as a sales manager leasing what my

salesmen sold.  If you are going to spend time calling on them make sure

you bring a crying towel and dry shoulder because a big part of getting

their business is hearing how tough it is on them that nobody will buy

their bankrupt, start-up, and 500 FICO score customers.

 

 If you want their business you have to be willing to do this.  Oh and by the way,

the first question out of their mouths is usually, "Are you a broker, or

do you fund your own deals?"

 

Bob Rodi

LeaseNOW, Inc

www.leasenow.com <http://www.leasenow.com>

drlease@leasenow.com

 

( I thought the first words out of the vendor salesman’s mouth was, “How

many points are you going to build into the lease for me? editor )

 

 

Classified

 

We will print them all this week.  Score card.  Three found jobs on

the “job wanted” last week.  One was through a colleague, but thanked

us for the activity, one had an offer from our site, but took another,

and the third gave us full credit.  Hooray!!!!

 

Help Wanted---Leasing News has more companies here, including American Express Business Finance.  They have much to offer, lot of money, good

leads, great benefits, strong company.  This is not an endorsement, but

they are not leaving any stone unturned—smart move.

 

Outsourcing.  This has not really changed much, and not much activity.

Don’t know why.  Still too new is a guess????

 

Classified Ads

 

  Nine Jobs Wanted

             http://65.209.205.32/LeasingNews/JobPostings.htm

 

  Sixteen Help Wanted

             http://65.209.205.32/LeasingNews/JobPostingsWanted.htm

 

  Five Outsourcing

            http://65.209.205.32/LeasingNews/JobPostingsOutsourcing.htm

 

___________________________________________________________________

 

Be wary of those 0% loans/Not that Simple

 

By KEVIN DeMARRAIS

 

Staff Writer, New Jersey Record

 

Zero percent financing is back. Big time.

 

It helped automakers build sales last month, and we're seeing a variety of retailers turn to no-interest promotions as the holiday shopping season heats up.

If handled correctly, zero-percent financing can save you a lot of money. But be careless or fail to understand all the terms and conditions, and you could end up paying heavily for what you thought was free.

 

The concept is simple. To spur sales, merchants offer interest-free loans for periods of several months to several years.

 

Zero-percent financing has been a popular holiday-season promotional tool for electronics and furniture retailers for years, and there are indications it will be so again this year as merchants seek to attract consumers who may be hesitant to spend as freely as they have in the past.

 

No-interest loans also have become popular in the auto industry's attempt to rebound from slumping sales, and they seem to be working. The Big Three -- General Motors, Ford, and DaimlerChrysler -- turned to incentives after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, and they are credited with raising sales of cars and light trucks in October by 24 percent, to their highest monthly rate ever.

 

"The response has been excellent at each place," said Gene Meyers, owner of Chevrolet dealerships in Paramus and Hawthorne and a Ford/Nissan dealership in Butler. "People who were leasing are now buying. It's very enticing. It takes people who were sitting on the fence, waiting to see what is going to happen, and puts them in the market."

 

The reason is simple: Zero percent financing can save car buyers thousands of dollars. For example, the auto loan calculator at Bankrate.com (a good Web site to use) shows that someone financing $20,000 at 6 percent (around the low end of the going rate for new-car loans) over four years would pay about $53 a month in interest, or $2,545 over the course of the loan, more than the person with zero-percent financing.

 

Who can resist?

 

Unfortunately, it's not that simple.

 

In many cases, the interest-free loans are limited to 36 months, and an increasing number of buyers are stretching payments for longer terms. In those cases, the manufacturers often offer rates of 2.9 percent for 48 months and 3.9 percent for 60 months.

 

While attractive, and better than bank loans, they are not free.

 

Using those rates in the calculator, the $20,000 loan will result in $1,206 in interest over four years, $2,045 over five years.

 

The savings however, may not be as great as they seem. Some manufacturers offer a rebate as an alternative to no/low interest rates, and you can use it to reduce your purchase price and the amount you need to borrow. Many rebates are modest, in the $500 range, but one North Jersey Chrysler-Plymouth dealer advertised factory rebates "up to $2,500" last week.

 

Even a $1,000 rebate would make a difference, because total payments on $19,000 (purchase price, less rebate) at 6 percent are not much more than $20,000 at 2.9 percent.

 

Get a higher rebate, reduce the number of monthly payments, or get a lower interest rate, and a rebate along with bank financing might actually be the better deal. You'll only know if you do the math.

 

The same is true if you are considering a lease, as some manufacturers offer higher rebates for leases than they do for purchases. Consumers can take the rebate and "buy down" the lease, thereby saving money, Meyers said.

 

Another potential problem with no- or low-interest financing is that not everyone can get it, and it may not apply to all of a manufacturer's models. The ads say "for qualified buyers," and as is so often the case with attractive offers, people with shaky records -- those most in need of financial help -- may be shut out.

 

Manufacturers have been quite liberal in who they approve, "but they're not going to give 0.0 if you have a poor credit rating," Meyers said.

 

If you are thinking of buying or leasing a car, shop around at local banks before you go kicking tires so you have a basis from which to judge the dealers' offers.

Also, to make sure you are doing an apples-to-apples comparison, don't include talk about financing and rebates until after you have negotiated a final price for the vehicle.

 

Fortunately, zero-percent auto financing, which is due to expire Nov. 20 -- but might be extended or replaced by another incentive -- is pretty straightforward. As Meyers said, "There's no fine print."

 

With other retailers, there are significant differences from one plan to another, and almost all the key points are in the fine print. As a result, consumers need to get out a magnifying glass and read the details.

 

The promotions are a little easier to understand than they were several years ago, thanks to several high-profile fraud prosecutions of major retailers by the New Jersey Division of Consumer Affairs, but they can still be confusing.

 

So ask these key questions:

 

Is the offer for "no interest" only, or is it "no interest and no payments" until some time in the future?

 

In either case, you end up paying the same amount (unless you default and get hit with penalties). But with the first you need to make monthly payments, albeit, interest free; with the second, you pay nothing (except maybe shipping) for months.

Does the interest accrue during the zero-percent financing period? With almost every offer -- a notable exception being Sears -- the interest is calculated from the day of purchase (or delivery).

 

Pay the full bill before the end of the promotional period, and you've enjoyed an interest-free loan. But have any balance remaining, even $1, and you'll be charged interest on the entire purchase price, not just the balance due, retroactive to the purchase date.

 

What is the interest rate? All these promotions require using the store's own credit card, not your regular Visa or MasterCard.

 

Despite all the interest rate cuts this year by the Federal Reserve, most store-issued cards charge interest at nearly double the going rate, often 24 percent or more.

Again, if you pay in full, it's no big deal. Be late, however, and you'll regret it. On a $2,000 purchase, 24 percent means upward of $480 in interest in a year.

 

What are the penalties? In many cases, a single late or missed payment can push the interest rate to a penalty level of more than 25 percent.

These terms and conditions are included in store circulars, but they are usually buried on the bottom of the next-to-last or last page, along with a variety of other unrelated warranties and conditions, and they are printed in small, hard-to-read type.

Do yourself a favor and read it, and if you don't understand some conditions, ask. It could save you hundreds of dollars.

 

___________________________________________________________________

Comdex  scaled back, but still focus of high tech

 

BY SAM DIAZ

San Jose Mercury News

 

Not so long ago, when technology ruled the business world and Americans were feeling safe in their homeland, Comdex was considered the tech trade show, a place to discuss business deals, find new partners and show off the latest gadgets and innovations.

 

Comdex remains one of the premier trade shows in the country, but the mood and atmosphere of this year's show, which opens tonight in Las Vegas, won't be nearly as care-free or extravagant as in years past.

 

To some extent, the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11 and the increased security at the Las Vegas Convention Center will leave some attendees feeling uneasy as they arrive for the four-day event.

 

Likewise, a down economy has forced some companies to scale back. Some are sending fewer people to save on travel expenses. Others have chosen to conduct meetings and showcase their products in quiet hotel suites on the Las Vegas Strip instead of noisy booths on the main show floor.

 

It's unfortunate, but not surprising, that the show will have more of a somber feel to it, said Fred Rosen, chief executive of Key 3 Media, the company that produces Comdex.

 

``Comdex as a show, as any trade show does, mirrors the industry it represents,'' Rosen said. ``If the client is going through difficult times, it's not illogical that we would face those same issues.''

 

Back in August, well before Sept. 11 left Americans worrying about air travel and being among large crowds, Rosen was already anticipating a drop in attendance. A slipping economy almost ensured a smaller show this year.

 

He was right. Last year, about 2,400 companies exhibited at Comdex. This year, the figure is down by more than 15 percent, closer to 2,000. The number of attendees is expected to be down about 25 percent, from 200,000 last year to about 150,000 this year.

But those are still strong numbers, Rosen said. And they show that technology, although down now, remains an important part of the American economy. It also helps that the key players in the tech field remain committed.

Big names -- from Sony to Palm to Hewlett-Packard -- will maintain high visibility throughout much of the week. Industry titans Bill Gates, Larry Ellison and John Chambers, among others, will deliver keynote speeches. And the list of attendees -- from investors to top executives -- remains impressive.

 

Sticking with Comdex

 

That's what convinced Cambridge Silicon Radio, a Texas start-up that's offering its chip product to makers of wireless products, to invest in a chunk of real estate on the Las Vegas Convention Center show floor.

 

It wasn't a clear-cut decision, said company vice president Eric Janson. The company was forced to scrap the Consumer Electronics Show in January so they could attend Comdex.

 

``Naturally, what we're doing is conserving our cash,'' Janson said. ``We stuck with Comdex because we think it's more PC centric and there are more people with the influence to get our design into their products. We'll cross our fingers and hope we made the right choice. Based on the customers we saw at both shows last year, I think we did.''

 

Rosen is optimistic that Janson and others will make the right contacts -- despite the increase in security and the decrease in attendees.

 

``We're flattered that they picked up our show,'' Rosen said. ``It tells you that they believe their buyers will be at our event. Trade shows will only work if you can match the audience to the exhibitors.''

 

But not all exhibitors want to be found inside the convention center.

Maxtor, the San Jose disk drive maker, is skipping the convention center floor but will be shuttling a handful of pre-selected guests to their suite at the Bellagio Hotel.

It's not a reactive move for Maxtor, but rather a strategic one that was finalized well before terrorists struck and forced Rosen to re-evaluate security for his show.

``We're not looking for mass market appeal right now,'' said Mike Cordano, Maxtor's executive vice president of worldwide sales and marketing. ``We've targeted about 40 specific engagements at the customer level.''

 

Comdex again is attracting a good number of international business executives -- and that's what appeals most to Maxtor right now, especially as personal computer sales remain sluggish and the United States economy continues to slide.

``International people use Comdex as a venue to make contact with us and our competitors and suppliers,'' Cordano said.

 

Security measures

 

Viewsonic, a Southern California digital imaging company, also decided against a convention center booth, opting instead for a suite at the Venetian Hotel.

``It was a strategic decision that we felt would bring the best return on our investment,'' said Jeff Volpe, the company's vice president of sales. ``I think the people who show up to Comdex this year are the ones who really want to be there. There are a lot of new technologies and there's always going to be companies launching new products and ideas. There will always be a need for a medium to get this kind of information.''

 

Rosen knows his show will be a bit more somber than previous years and realizes that the extra security measures -- which include a ban on knapsacks and laptop bags -- will bother some people. But he is also confident that the attendees will see past the inconveniences and will focus on the business at-hand.

``We all recognize what's happened in the last 60 days but as our president has said, we have to try to return to normalcy,'' Rosen said.

Contact Sam Diaz at sdiaz@sjmercury.com or (408) 920-5021.

________________________________________________________________

 

Federal judge rejects HP's purchase of Comdisco unit/Sells to SunGard

Mercury News Wire Services

 

CHICAGO -- A federal judge Friday rejected Hewlett-Packard's proposed $750 million purchase of Comdisco's disaster-recovery business, accusing the Palo Alto computer maker of seeking to subvert the bankruptcy process.

 

After a three-day trial, U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Ronald Barliant in Chicago instead approved an $825 million offer by SunGard Data Systems for the Comdisco unit.

Barliant ruled that SunGard was the winner in a court-supervised auction and should be allowed to go ahead with the purchase. He said HP's attempt to snatch the Comdisco unit away from SunGard for $750 million violated the auction rules established by the court.

 

 All proceedings in that case were also completed today, and the parties are awaiting the District Court's ruling, which is expected by November 15, 2001.


    Norm Blake, chairman and chief executive officer of Comdisco, said, "We are very pleased that the Court today approved our motion filed at the commencement of our chapter 11 reorganization cases to sell our Availability Solutions business. We have been working closely with SunGard since the summer to successfully resolve the antitrust situation and we expect to continue to work closely with them to ensure a seamless transition for our customers and employees. We are also pleased that the Court today clearly found that our Availability Solutions sale is in the best interests of our stakeholders and that our Company
exercised all appropriate business judgment in reaching this outcome."

SunGard, based in Wayne, Pa., makes software that automates stock and bond trades and operates a disaster-recovery business. Purchasing the Comdisco unit would make SunGard the second-largest provider of disaster-recovery services after IBM, which has raised concerns with regulators.

 

Arguments in the federal antitrust case concluded Friday before a federal judge in Washington, and a ruling in the matter is expected next week.

 

Oct. 23, well after the bankruptcy auction closed, HP said it would pay $750 million for the unit. Comdisco accepted HP's new offer after a committee representing creditors owed more than $4.5 billion switched positions on the HP bid.

 

Since it expressed an interest in the summer in buying the Comdisco unit, HP has made various offers that Norman Blake, Comdisco's chief executive, labeled ``blue-light specials.'' The deals, Blake said, were made as take-it-or-leave-it proposals with a short time frame for acceptance.

 

While ruling against the HP deal, Barliant praised the handling of the matter by Comdisco's management, which he said was working to maximize the amount of money it can obtain for its assets.

 

The judge announced his decision after U.S. stock markets had closed for the day. Earlier, Hewlett-Packard shares rose 64 cents to $18.99. SunGard shares fell 23 cents to $26.14.

 

______________________________________________________-

 

Credit Card Giant Providian Pays Price for Growth

by Michael Liedtke, Associated Press

SAN FRANCISCO – Providian Financial Corp. seemed to outsmart the rest of the credit card industry in the 1990s. Using the power of computer analysis, Providian figured out a way to reap huge profits by lending money to millions of consumers lacking the income or credit rating to attract other bankers.

The formula worked wonders, transforming Providian from a little-noticed subsidiary of a Kentucky insurance company to a San Francisco-based financial services giant that earned $651 million last year and became the nation's fifth largest issuer of Mastercards and Visa cards.

But Providian's fortunes have changed now that the slumping economy is saddling the company with a growing number of deadbeat customers, and a succession of consumer complaints prompted it to curtail late fees and other lucrative sources of revenue.

"They were stepping on the accelerator at the worst possible time," said industry analyst Michael Vinciquerra of Raymond James & Associates.

With its $32 billion loan portfolio crumbling and its reputation on Wall Street in tatters, Providian is trying to pull itself from financial quicksand of its own making. CEO Shailesh Mehta, the mathematical wizard behind Providian's vaunted computer models, is stepping aside as soon as a replacement is found. The company hopes to hire a new CEO before the new year.

In the meantime, Providian is curbing its lending to high-risk consumers as part of a major reorganization. The company remains confident it will be able to rebound from its recent mistakes, said Konrad Alt, its chief public policy officer. Alt declined any further comment about the challenges facing the company.

As part of its recovery efforts, Providian has hired investment bankers Salomon Smith Barney and Goldman, Sachs & Co. to explore a "broad array" of alternatives, including a possible sale of the company.

But the depths of Providian's financial woes will likely discourage bidders, analyst John McDonald of UBS Warburg said in an investment advisory this month.

As of Sept. 30, Providian's loan losses had climbed to 10.33 percent of its portfolio, up from 7.71 percent at the end of 2000. Providian's newly delinquent loans also were rising rapidly, a trend that management warned is likely to continue next year.

Although Providian appears to have adequate financial strength to continue operating for at least two more quarters, McDonald believes there is a real risk that federal regulators will slap tough restrictions on the company before its condition weakens much further.

Federal regulators clamped down on a much smaller credit card lender, NextCard, last month. NextCard is the brainchild of former Providian executives who hoped to build a similar business model on the Internet.

The stock market already has punished Providian. In October 2000, its stock peaked at a split-adjusted $66.72, giving Providian a market value of $19 billion. The shares fell to a low of $2 on the New York Stock Exchange earlier this month, an $18.4 billion reversal of fortune.

Many infuriated investors and analysts suspect the company tried to cover up its troubles. Their suspicions result in part from an unannounced change in the way the company recognized customer bankruptcies.

In mid-June, Providian decided to start pooling the bankruptcies and write off the losses on a monthly basis. This represented a switch from the company's previous practice of recognizing losses as soon as it received notification of a customer bankruptcy.

The change, which the company didn't disclose until September, enabled Providian to keep $30 million in losses off its books until July, enabling management to meet Wall Street's earnings expectations for the quarter ending in June.

A series of shareholder suits allege Providian wanted to keep investors happy so three top executives – Mehta, vice chairman David Alvarez and chief financial officer James Rowe – could sell a combined $22 million in stock before the company revealed the depths of its problems.

It all adds up to a humbling comedown for a company that prided itself on its ability to find consumers who would run up high credit balances that took years to pay off.

Mehta, who took charge of Providian in 1988, reasoned that the company could thrive by catering to cash-starved consumers who couldn't easily qualify for credit cards from other lenders and would be eager to borrow money at just about any price. By tapping into this market, Providian expanded its business from 2 million credit card customers in 1995 to 18.5 million as of Sept. 30.

Even as it collected interest income, Providian found ways to fatten its profit margin.

It pitched peripheral products such as credit insurance and aggressively imposed penalties for late payments and other indiscretions. Providian also eliminated interest-free grace periods for some cardholders and required some applicants to borrow $1,000 in advance to assure the accounts would incur finance charges.

Last year, Providian collected $2.2 billion in credit card fees – a 27-fold increase from 1995 when the company pocketed $81.4 million in fees. Over the same period, Providian's managed loan portfolio quadrupled in size, growing from $6.6 billion in 1995 to $27.1 billion at the end of last year.

But Providian's fees alienated many customers, who accused the company of misleading sales tactics and tacking on late fees for payments that were mailed on time. Consumer activists also lashed out at Providian for exploiting customers lacking the English skills or financial savvy to resist the company's fee onslaught.

It got so bad that the Better Business Bureau's Bay Area chapter received more than 1,000 complaints against Providian in 1999, said Pat Wallace, chapter president.

"It was as bad and as sleazy behavior as I have ever dealt with," Wallace said.

In mid-1999, several local, state and federal agencies opened an investigation into Providian's fees and customers filed a series of class-action lawsuits. The company paid more than $400 million last year to settle the government investigations and lawsuits.

As part of the settlements, Providian also promised to change its practices – and its new attitude helped the company win this year's Rochester Institute of Technology/USA Today Quality Cup for excellence in customer service.

But part of Providian's financial problems are due to the fact that fee revenue has flattened with its more customer-friendly approach. Through the first six months of this year, Providian's credit card fees totaled $1.17 billion, a 4 percent increase from the prior year.

The slackening of fee income also prompted the company to raise credit limits – even as the economy deteriorated and customers began to have problems paying their bills, management acknowledged to analysts last month. Providian saw the computer models that it built its business on start to crumble.

"It's the fallacy of financial engineering," said industry analyst Charlotte Chamberlain of Jefferies & Co. "These models can produce results like you have never seen before, but they are only good for as long as things don't change.

"If something comes out of left field, these things tend to just blow up."

___________________________________________________________________

 

Wholesale Prices Fall, Biggest Decline in More than a Half-Century

 

by Martin Crutsinger, Associated Press

 

WASHINGTON (AP) Wholesale prices, helped by sharp decreases for energy and new cars, plunged 1.6 percent last month in the biggest decline in more than a half-century of record keeping. Analysts said recession in the United States would keep the lid on inflation for many months to come.

 

The bigger-than-expected drop Friday in the Labor Department's Producer Price Index highlighted one of the few benefits a weakening economy can provide.

''The worsening downturn in industrial activity has spilled over into a general recession that is driving down prices,'' said Jerry Jasinowski, president of the National Association of Manufacturers.

 

Wall Street was encouraged. The Dow Jones industrial average closed up 20.48 points at 9,608.00, just above its close on Sept. 10, the day before the terrorist attacks.

 

Economists said the report showed an absence of price pressures not only at factories, farms and other producers of finished goods but also at earlier stages in the production pipeline, with costs dropping by 1.5 percent for intermediate goods and a steep 9.1 percent for crude goods.

 

''There's absolutely no pressure in the pipeline,'' said Oscar Gonzalez, an economist at John Hancock in Boston. ''Producers have no pricing power at all. For consumers and the broader economy, that is good news.''

Analysts said consumers should find plenty of bargains as the holiday shopping season opens and for months to come if demand slumps.

Even before the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, the economy had endured a yearlong economic slowdown. But signs of weakness have grown dramatically since the attacks, with 415,000 Americans laid off in October alone, the biggest one-month drop in payroll employment in 21 years.

While many analysts believe the economy will begin to show signs of life by the spring, Michael Evans, chief economist at American Economics Group in Washington, said he was looking for the downturn to last through the first six months of next year, with economic growth declining this quarter and the next two at annual rates of about 2 percent. The economy turned negative with a 0.4 percent drop in activity in the July-September quarter.

 

Evans said he believed the recession and a sluggish rebound would keep consumer prices rising by just 2 percent through next year and probably 2003. That would compare with a 3.4 percent increase in consumer prices last year.

 

Declining inflation pressures will give the Federal Reserve more room to cut interest rates to jump-start economic growth, analysts said. The Fed cut rates for a 10th time on Tuesday and many economists are predicting an 11th rate cut at the Fed's final meeting of this year on Dec. 11.

 

The 1.6 percent plunge in the PPI for October, four times what analysts had been expecting, was the largest drop since the government began tracking wholesale inflation in 1947. Prices had been up 0.4 percent in both August and September.

So far this year, prices at the wholesale level have been declining at an annual rate of 0.8 percent, a turnaround from the 3.6 percent increase last year.

 

The big drop in wholesale prices in October was led by a 7.7 percent plunge in energy prices, the biggest decrease in 12 years. Gasoline prices fell 21.2 percent, the biggest one-month drop in 15 years.

 

With many Americans cutting back on their travel plans in the wake of the terrorist attacks and the anthrax threats, the average price of a gallon of gasoline is $1.24 down by about 30 cents from a year ago and has fallen below $1 in some parts of the country.

 

The PPI report showed that natural gas prices, which had soared because of short supplies last winter, fell by a record 6 percent in October. Analysts are predicting that natural gas will be about one-third cheaper this winter than last, good news for the 55 percent of Americans who heat with natural gas.

 

Home heating oil prices also fell dramatically, dropping 20.9 percent, the biggest decline since February 1990, when the country was in the depths of the last recession.

 

The Labor Department said food prices were also down last month at the wholesale level, dropping 0.4 percent, with widespread declines in most food groups.

Inflation at the wholesale level, excluding food and energy, was down by 0.5 percent. This drop reflected a 4.7 percent plunge in new car prices, the biggest one-month decline in 29 years, reflecting heavy discounting last month to move a backlog of unsold cars.

On the Net:

Producer Price Index: http://www.bls.gov/ppi

 

 

 

National Train System Not on Track

WASHINGTON (AP) A federal panel ordered Amtrak to come up with a liquidation plan for itself on Friday, concluding that one more year won't be enough for the national railway to end 30 years of operating deficits.

The Amtrak Reform Council voted 6-5 to declare that Amtrak will not meet a congressional deadline of Dec. 2, 2002, for covering its operating costs without government help.

The ruling does not mean any immediate changes in train service. Amtrak has 90 days to draw up a liquidation plan, and the council will use that time to plan a restructuring of passenger rail in America.

Congress and the White House ultimately will review both plans and make a final decision about the future of Amtrak and rail service.

 

The name Amtrak is a combination of ''American'' and ''Track.'' Other facts and figures on the national railway:

 

Official name is the National Railroad Passenger Corp.

25,000 employees.

 

Began service May 1, 1971, with 184 trains serving 314 stations. Today, an average of 260 trains serve 512 stations daily.

 

Took over the passenger operations of all but three railroads: the Rock Island Railroad, Southern Railway and Denver & Rio Grande Western Railroad. All three ceased passenger service by 1984.

 

Serves 45 states. Those without service: Alaska, Hawaii, Maine, South Dakota and Wyoming.

 

Operates more than 22,000 route miles. Most are owned by freight railroads; Amtrak owns 730 miles of track, mostly between Boston and Washington and in Michigan.

 

Busiest stations: New York, 8.4 million boardings last year; Philadelphia (3.9 million); Washington (3.4 million); Chicago (2.2 million); and Newark, N.J., (1.4 million).

 

Carried a record 22.5 million riders in 2000.