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October 30, 2002 Headlines--- Oh-Boy! John Wold--Pictures
from the Past Job
Wanted-Would Like to Buy a Christmas Tree On
No! Mr. Bill---Interest rates fall on T-bills Loans
are strong, but market needs discipline--ABSnet New
York add: at 71.9 Conference Board Consumer
Confidence at 9-Year Low, a Warning on Economy Venture
investments fall to 4 1/2-year low Surprise-Surprise-Surprise
---CIT Group's Earnings Fall 26%
Financial Diary and Guide--See how broke
you are Union
Blames Co.'s for Dock Trouble--The Grinch Who Stole Xmas De
Lage Landen Financial Services names Lisa Vandercook Exec.VP Neutron
Jack seeks new lawyer in divorce action (25
goes into 55 more times than 62 goes into 35) ###
Denotes Press Release ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pictures
from the Past
1997
John T. Wold, over twenty-five years in the
credit information industry. 1997 he was the Western Regional V.P. of Trans
Union. He developed the company’s geographic expansion
in the Western U.S. He has served as President of Associated Credit
Bureaus of California and Chairman of the Consumer Credit Counseling
Service of Los Angeles. He
represented the credit reporting industry on numerous radio and
television broadcasts. He is a graduate of California State University, Long
Beat. Job Wanted—Would Like to
Buy a Christmas Tree Contract Administrator: Schaumburg, IL 10 yrs. small/mid-ticket leasing. Proficient
in documentation, funding and legal. Worked with brokers, portfolio
purchases, vendor programs, municipal transactions. prefer to stay
in Suburban Illinois. Email:sophie1900@msn.com Contract Administrator: Chicago/Naperville 18+ years experience in leasing US/Europe, as
both lessee and lessor. Am versatile and adaptable to lessee, lessor,
or lender career opportunity. Chicago relocation desired. Email:kris_k11@yahoo.com Contract Administrator: Los Angeles, CA 6 years small ticket leasing - Credit Analysis
up to $75,000, Documentation & Funding. Highly organized team
player trained sales/operations in credit, pricing, docs. Email:miri7ca@yahoo.com Controller: Seattle, WA CPA w/ 15 years management exp. as CFO/ Controller/5
yrs w/ PriceWaterhouse Coopers. Extensive exp.providing accounting/
tax guidance for the equipment lease industry. Willing to relocate.
Email:bltushin@hotmail.com Credit: Vista, CA +15 years experience structuring, underwriting,
and collecting leases to privately and publicly held companies.
Creative and results oriented. Proven ability to achieve bottom-line
results. Email:dkalitow@pacbell.net Credit: Mill Valley, CA Senior corporate officer with financial services
credit background. M and A, fund raising and workout expertise.
Email:nywb@aol.com To view the “Job Wanted” list, please go to: http://65.209.205.32/LeasingNews/JobPostings.htm Two more days for “free ads” in “Help Wanted.”
No more free ads in “Help Wanted” after October 31. Go to: http://65.209.205.32/LeasingNews/JobPostingsWanted.htm ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- On No!
Mr. Bill---Interest rates fall on T-bills (This is perhaps one of the most important indicators,
overlooked by novice financial reporters. The cost of money is the key to supply and
demand and the needs of our industry. Less demands, means lower rates, which is not good for the economy as the government makes
less, the rate of return based on T-bills goes down, and margins are squeezed.
This is not good news under present circumstances.. Talk is the Feds will lower interest rates one
more time next week, right before the election, to spur the economy.
Perhaps the construction, mortgage market, and a few others will benefit, but will
it take zero percent from the government, just like automakers, to sell
business to extend credit? Rate isn’t everything. If you don’t have confidence in more income, why increase your monthly cash out go? The average leasing broker business is down
35% to 50% as they are being squeezed out of the market place. Due to the competition of rate, alternate forms of finance are being left the “sub-prime”
credits and lessors with securitization lines are taking deals for cash
flow that will come back to haunt them as evidenced by Unicapital, United
Capital, to name just a few. A
drop to the lowest level in four weeks is bad news, especially before election day. Hide your chestnuts as
it looks like it going to be a cold winter. Editor ) By Associated Press WASHINGTON - Interest rates on short-term Treasury
bills fell in Monday's auction to the lowest levels in four weeks. The Treasury Department auctioned $18 billion
in three-month bills at a discount rate of 1.56 percent. Another
$17 billion in six-month bills was auctioned at a discount rate
of 1.52 percent. The three-month rate was down from 1.67 percent
last week and was the lowest since three-month bills averaged 1.54
percent on Sept. 30. The six-month rate was down from 1.67 percent
last week and was the lowest since 1.48 percent on Sept. 30. The new discount rates understate the actual
return to investors - 1.58 percent for three-month bills with a
$10,000 bill selling for $9,960.80 and 1.55 percent for a six-month
bill selling for $9,923.40. Separately, the Federal Reserve said the average
yield for one-year Treasury bills, a popular index for making changes
in adjustable rate mortgages, rose to 1.79 percent last week from
1.77 percent the previous week. ___________________________________________________________________ Loans are strong, but market
needs discipline “Act
Like You are Regulated” ABSnet Report New York - Participants and panelists at the
seventh annual conference of the Loan Syndications and Trading Association
(LSTA) in New York last week were proud to say that their asset
class has survived prolonged market volatility far better than any
other. The floating rate nature and senior secured
status of bank loans has served them well in these troubled times.
Still, with more volatility and market uncertainty on the horizon
for the foreseeable future, those attributes alone won't be sufficient
to keep risk at bay and protect the loan market from the dramatic
downturns experienced by its peer markets, namely equities and high
yield bonds. To ensure the continued positive performance
of loans, market participants are going to have to do a number of
things. Most importantly, they will need to "act like they're
regulated," said Laura Unger, former acting chairman of the
Securities & Exchange Commission. The hawk eyes of regulators
are boring down on the financial landscape - indeed, the SEC is
currently doing an inspection sweep of loan participation funds
out of New York and Chicago, Unger said - and they are ready to
descend upon suspect areas. The Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB) and credit rating agencies have already issued new standards
that players like CDOs need to abide by. Regulation aside, though, the character of today's
marketplace - one that has been whipped around by extreme volatility
and corporate scandals - calls for participants to hunker down and
follow some core principles. If buyside players and sellside firms
abide by these, they will help to create a strong and healthy market,
a market which, like Caesar's wife, is "above reproach,"
Unger said. Value in valuation At this time, transparency and valuation are
key, and the driver of transparency is mark-to-market pricing, said
Bank One's Marcia Banks. "Mark-to-market is fundamental to the liquidity
and development of the [loan] market," Banks said. The mark-to-market
initiative has been a priority for the LSTA and over the past year,
there have been many improvements in this area, in terms of available
pricing information and lists of movers and shakers in the secondary
market. But at a time when valuation is key and mark-to-market
pricing is crucial, there are still many challenges for the loan
market and its participants. Indeed, there is still a lot of progress
to be made in bringing together the two facets of valuation, the
concepts of fair value and market value, said Ruth Yang, director
of market data at the LSTA. "You need to bridge the gap between internal
fair value models and market value models by a third party,"
Yang said. "And for this effort, there's a continued need for
dealer quotes, relative value models and trade data." At this stage, dealer quotes are available and
the market is starting to see some relative value models, Yang said.
However, while the LSTA has been collecting trade data over the
past few years, this information is not readily available. The value
of trade data is primordial, though, Yang said, for the continued
development of models as the next step in the loan market's maturation.
The LSTA needs a reliable source of trade data for benchmarking
in order to construct these models, Yang said, and continues to
gather it from buyside and sellside firms. Despite the obstacles to bringing about a uniform
mark-to-market system, it is undeniably becoming the norm for the
loan market. "It's the tail that's wagging the dog these days, it's what you've got to
do," said Mike McAdams, chief investment officer at the Los
Angeles-based buyside firm Four Corners Capital Management, which
is in the process of launching its first CLO. In addition to mark-to-market, proper corporate
governance is essential, and regulators will be looking for this,
the SEC's Unger said. Because investors have become so gun-shy, corporate
integrity is becoming more significant. "Integrity is key to investor confidence
and investor confidence drives a healthy market," Unger said.
"It is very tough to regulate integrity, but the best way is
to make information providers more accountable." There is also an ongoing need to educate investors
on the way of the market, to show them that the act of investing
does not always guarantee a return, Unger said. That said, acts
of greed on the part of those who manage funds are wrong. Not only
can they mislead people, but it has been proven that acts of greed
have a far larger impact on the market than acts of terror, Unger
said, and market recovery can only be delayed by the selfishness
of a few. - Savita Iyer NEW YORK add: at 71.9 Conference
Board By Associated Press ''A weak labor market, the threat of military
action in Iraq, and a prolonged decline in the financial markets
have clearly dampened both consumers' confidence and their expectations
for the near future,'' said Lynn Franco, who heads the Conference
Board's Consumer Research Center. The Conference Board's index is based on a monthly
survey of about 5,000 U.S. households. It stood at 100 in its base
year, 1985. Respondents rating current business conditions
as ''bad'' increased to 27.6 percent from 23.8 percent last month,
while those saying conditions were ''good'' decreased to 15.6 percent
from 18.5 percent. The percentage saying jobs were hard to get
rose to 27.3 percent from 25.4 percent. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Consumer Confidence at
9-Year Low, a Warning on Economy Lowest since 1993 By KENNETH N. GILPIN New York Times In a report that was seen as a warning signal
for the economy, the Conference Board said yesterday that consumer
confidence in October plunged to a nine-year low. The board's index of consumer confidence, which
measures current and future expectations, fell to 79.4 from 93.7
in September. It was the biggest one- month drop since October 1990.
And it was the lowest reading on consumer confidence since November
1993, when the index stood at 71.9 and was rising as the effects
of a recession tapered off. The data also showed expectations on conditions
six months from now to be sharply lower. The report startled Wall Street and initially
prompted sharp selling of stocks, though later in the session they
recouped much of their losses. In advance of yesterday's data, most economists
expected the confidence reading to be around 90. "This is bad, but it is just one month,"
said Ken Goldstein, an economist at the Conference Board, which
is based in New York. "It has the potential to bounce back." Nonetheless, Mr. Goldstein acknowledged that
the October reading put the index "very close" to recession
levels. "This is not good news for the White House," he
said. The confidence figure is the first of several
important economic reports this week. Analysts said coming data
on third-quarter economic growth and unemployment in October were
likely to reinforce the notion that the recovery was losing steam.
With less than a week left before tightly contested midterm elections,
these economic reports could influence the choices of some voters. Norman Ornstein, a resident scholar at the American
Enterprise Institute in Washington, said: "If we had gotten
the consumer confidence number three months ago or even a month
ago, it would not have mattered because people weren't paying attention.
Now they are." He continued: `We have an election that will
be decided at the margin of the margin. You don't need a major tide
to turn Senate races from one side to another. And if a sour mood
is what is prevailing, the odds are that at the margin it will hurt
the `in' party." Referring to President Bush's political strategist,
Mr. Ornstein said, "If I were Karl Rove, this is the last thing
I would want to see happen." According to the Conference Board survey, consumer
sentiment about current conditions fell for the fifth consecutive
month. What made the overall decline so significant, Mr. Goldstein
said, was that expectations for conditions six months from now fell
for the first time, to 80.7 in October from 97 in September. "All of this is happening three to four
weeks before the start of the holiday shopping season," he
said. "Absent some sort of big change, this will likely have
an impact on Christmas sales." --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Venture investments fall
to 4 1/2-year low By Associated Press SAN FRANCISCO - With losses from their high-rolling
days still piling up, shell-shocked venture capitalists continued
to shun new risks in this year's third quarter, dropping the industry's
investment activity to a 41/2-year low, according to a report to
be released today. Venture capitalists invested $4.48 billion in
start-ups during the period ended Sept. 30, the weakest quarter
since the first three months of 1998, according to a survey compiled
by PricewaterhouseCoopers, Venture Economics and the National Venture
Capital Association. This year's third quarter represented a 48 percent
decrease from the same time last year, when venture capitalists
poured $8.68 billion into start-ups, the report said. It also marked the ninth consecutive quarter
in which venture capitalists curtailed their investments from the
preceding three-month period. The reasons for the downturn have remained largely
unchanged since the Internet gold rush turned into a financial bloodbath
during the spring of 2000. As the stock market began to turn a cold shoulder
to dot-coms and other high-tech businesses, venture capitalists
found themselves stuck with unprofitable start-ups that no one else
wanted. Meanwhile, even promising start-ups are finding
it increasingly difficult to find customers interested in spending
heavily on technology, further reducing their chances of survival
and saddling venture capitalists with the worst losses in the industry's
history. ''We all have had a very cold shower,'' said
Bob Grady, a venture capitalist with the Carlyle Group. Most venture capitalists and analysts believe
the industry's investments will dwindle even more in the next few
quarters. ''We haven't seen the end of the decline,''
said Robert Bellas, a general partner with Morganthaler Ventures.
''My gut feeling is that this won't stop until we get down to $2.5
billion to $3 billion per quarter.'' Venture capitalists have responded to the adversity
by shoveling more money into the best start-ups in their existing
portfolios and investing less in new opportunities. The number of start-ups that received their
first infusion of venture capital during the third quarter totaled
159, the lowest number in nearly eight years, according to the report. Back in the heyday of dot-coms in late 1999
and early 2000, nearly 1,000 start- ups per quarter were getting
their first dose of venture capital. ''Caution certainly seems to be the word of
the day,'' said John Taylor, research director for the National
Venture Capital Association. The wariness is causing venture capitalists
to shy away from the industry's traditional high-tech stronghold. Information technology start-ups attracted 59
percent of the venture capital during the third quarter, down from
the industry's historical average of 70 percent, Taylor said. In the high-tech sector, venture capitalists
are focusing more on software start-ups, which typically burn through
less money than hardware companies. Software accounted for 22.2
percent of venture capital investment in this year's third quarter,
up from 17.6 percent last year. While touching upon familiar themes, today's
report provides another reminder of how dramatically the venture
capital industry has changed in two years. Even as dot-com mania began to fade, venture
capitalists still invested $26.7 billion during the summer of 2000.
At their current pace, venture capitalists will invest less than
$23 billion for all of 2002. Venture capital's about-face has been accompanied
by sobering losses in the stock market. Since the end of 2000's
third quarter, the tech-driven Nasdaq Composite index has plunged
by 64 percent while the Dow Jones industrial average has shed 21
percent. Most venture capitalists believe the shakeout
will help the industry by chasing away investors who only were interested
in striking it rich quick. ''We see this as the `right-sizing' of the industry,''
said Allan Ferguson, a general partner with the venture capital
firm of 3i. ''We are moving back to a point where we will be able
to build better-quality companies.'' please send to a colleague as we are trying
to built our readership ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Surprise-Surprise-Surprise
---CIT Group's Earnings Fall 26% By BLOOMBERG NEWS he CIT Group, the finance company that was spun
off from Tyco International in July, said yesterday that earnings
in its fiscal fourth quarter fell 26 percent as leasing revenue
declined, and it lost money on venture investments. Net income dropped to $134.7 million, or 64
cents a share, from $181.3 million in the period a year earlier.
Per-share figures were not available for the 2001 quarter. CIT, which leases airplanes, trains and computers,
has lost about $1 billion in market value since the initial offering
raised $4.6 billion. Profit is falling as a weak economy curtails
demand for large equipment and as airlines and construction companies
hold off borrowing, analysts said. Finance income fell 19 percent, to $1.01 billion,
in the three months ended Sept. 30. Total financing and leasing
assets at the end of last month were $36.4 billion, 11 percent lower
than a year earlier. CIT also lost $22.4 million, after taxes, on
venture capital investments in the third quarter, largely because
of declines among technology and telecommunications stocks, the
company's chief executive, Albert Gamper, said in an interview. Analysts had expected the company to earn 73
cents a share, according to Thomson First Call. Mr. Gamper said
CIT would have earned about 75 cents a share excluding the losses
from venture capital, a business the company has been exiting for
the past 18 months. In the initial offering, CIT brought less than
half the $9.5 billion Tyco paid for it a year earlier. In the year
under Tyco ownership, CIT posted its first-ever loss and its credit
rating was lowered, which increased borrowing costs. That rise narrowed the company's interest margins,
which fell to 4.37 percent in the quarter from 5.01 percent in the
period a year earlier. CIT also wrote off $141 million of uncollectible
debt in the quarter, up from $126 million in its third quarter,
because telecommunications borrowers failed to make payments. Financial Diary and Guide--
See how broke you are The Financial Professional's Diary and Guide
is the premier day-to-day guide designed exclusively for financial executives.
With practical information and reference features, its more than a desk
day planner, it's a powerful organizational tool and reference guide, and
helps you organize the complex demands of your busy schedule--in style. For
more information or to order your copy, please click the link below: http://www.us-banker.com/usb/fpdinfo.shtml Union Blames Co.'s for Dock
Trouble---The Grinch Who Stole Xmas By Justin Pritchard Associated Press Writer (Business and Consumers are the losers) SAN FRANCISCO –– Shipping companies are mismanaging
cargo at major Pacific ports so federal prosecutors can blame longshoremen
for a work slowdown, the dockworker's union contends. The union made the allegation in documents filed
Tuesday with the Justice Department. The 10,500-member union and the association
of shipping companies have blamed each other for the trouble in
clearing the docks. Under the Taft- Hartley injunction earlier this
month that ended a 10-day lockout at the ports, a federal judge
may decide whether either side is violating a directive to work
"at a normal pace" and mete out penalties. The labor impasse was costing the U.S. economy
an estimated $1 billion a day by the time President Bush asked a
federal judge in San Francisco to reopen the ports. Last week, the Pacific Maritime Association
– which represents shipping companies and port terminal operators
– filed documents with federal prosecutors asserting some crane
operators were moving up to 30 percent fewer cargo containers than
normal. A spokesman for the International Longshore
and Warehouse Union said Tuesday those statistics didn't prove a
slowdown – instead, they proved that the waterfront is in disarray
because of "gross mismanagement" by maritime association
members. "If a particular container is needed to
be put on a ship and that one is stuck somewhere in a pile, it will
hold up everything," spokesman Steve Stallone said. "That
leaves the crane sitting idle for a while." Shipping association officials said it was ridiculous
to suggest they were sabotaging operations. "You can't have more motivation than we
do to get things working properly. Our members are losing millions
of dollars," association spokesman Steve Sugerman said. In a statement Tuesday, the Justice Department
said its lawyers are studying the documents filed by both sides
to determine if any legal action is needed to ensure compliance
with court orders. If the department sides with shipping companies,
it could ask a federal judge to penalize the union before a "cooling-off"
period ends Dec. 26. Possible penalties include fines. Also Tuesday, both sides met with a federal
mediator in contract negotiations. Mediator Peter Hurtgen has asked
both sides not to discuss the sessions publicly. ––– On the Net: International Longshore and Warehouse Union:
http://www.ilwu.org/ Pacific Maritime Association: http://www.pmanet.com/ |